muses of the moment

December 12, 2014

Let the games begin

The stars are aligning for another bank crisis and/or credit freeze and/or global debt collapse. Banks don’t want large cash deposits. Click here.

Banks are claiming that it is because of the Frank-Dodd rules, which really are so thin now, that this argument just doesn’t hold water. In addition, what little worry banks had about actually being responsible for their depositors money just got voted out by the new spending bill tonight (December 11, 2014). So, gg thinks that the big banks are getting prepared. They are lowering the cash they may need to return to customers during a crisis and anything beyond their capacity to produce, they are putting on the government’s shoulders. Or someone to blame for lack of cash for depositors.

Here is a good interview over at usawatchdog.com. Click here.

Although the stock market is going well. That’s about it. Oil is down putting major pressure on the US oil industry which is the only thing going well in the last 4 years. gg sees a major debt squeeze here if oil stays under $70 for the next 12 months. Debt has to be paid whether the oil well is running or not. Shutting down wells doesn’t pay off the bank, it just cuts payroll and hurts local economies.

Derivatives….the thing the big banks want the government to cover if (when) they blow up.

Derivatives, take your pick. Auto loans (maxed out), commodities (oil), stocks, government debt, Europe (still not fixed), China (slowing), emerging markets, and of course, currencies (very out of balance the last 8 months). Currencies are the largest derivative market. One or more can blow up at anytime and trigger a chain event. (Could be blowing up as we speak, but the chain reaction to multiple markets causes the crisis.) And the banks know that.

The good news is that since the government will cover any derivative losses for the banks, you will not lose money on deposit. May have to wait to withdraw it. (Money you can on get to, is not your money). Probably lose broker/invested money, it’s not covered. Groovygirl has suggested from the beginning to have investment funds with 2-3 different brokerage houses and then cash with 2-3 banks. That’s personal and business accounts. It’s extra accounting, but may reduce risk and at least have one account you can access immediately to keep things going in a crisis event.

Bad news is that the government will “print” to cover and you will be ultimately responsible for it through taxes, currency value, or perhaps even a brand new currency to restructure all the US debt.

This will not end well.

Make sure you are as protected as much as you can be. You can not control derivatives or government votes or market crisis, but you can control your money and finances.

I suggest to you that the next crisis will not be called a financial crisis. It will initially be labeled something else to keep people from assuming it is an event like 2007-2009 as long as possible. As this will cause everyone and anyone to “panic”. The time to prepare is yesterday, not tomorrow.

November 4, 2014

Warren Pollock on usawatchdog.com

Warren Pollock has a new interview out!! Great info. Click here for Warren Pollock’s video interview on usawatchdog.com.

gg favorite’s line: the less flexible you are, the more reliant you are on government, the harder it will be. No matter what level of crisis you are preparing for, that truth remains…truth.

June 23, 2014

Interesting question

Filed under: Dollar Crisis, DOW and S&P500, Stock Market — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 12:50 pm

Charles Hugh Smith brings up an interesting question.  Who will boomers and their pension/401k plans sell their stocks to?

Click here.

It is possible that other countries and emerging markets might or maybe too big to fail banks with free Fed money, but this scenario suggests some sort of long-term decline at some point under even the best of circumstances.

gg is hoping that emerging markets will be over their contraction in 5-7 years and be able to pick up the selling slack when a large population of aging Americans are selling for cash. Otherwise it could get ugly.

Same thing is/will happen in housing. Seniors need the cash equity out of their home and there are limited buyers. gg has thought for a long time that this pressure, with the increased debt burden/low-income on young people will contribute to the long-term decline in real estate in the US and other first world economies.

This is a long-term pressure on a long term cycle tied to generational demographics.

April 30, 2014

“Cold war”

groovygirl has been pre-occupied with another investment activity. See previous blog post for the details. Groovygirl will still continue to post about economics, gold and silver, and global debt.

groovygirl has been paying very close attention to the new Cold War with Russia and the crisis in Ukraine.

Click here.

Russia is making friends in the mist of this crisis.

Groovygirl is very concerned about the global economic consequences from this situation regardless of the end result in Ukraine. At the very least, this will speed up the economic alliances and economic separation of the BRICs. The direct trading of currency, energy, and commodities that started in 2010 is accelerating. At the worst, all global trade, which has helped and driven all growth (including the US) in the last 20 years will slow dramatically or stop all together. Iraq is now back in Iran’s influence, Russia and China are in direct currency trading and strengthening every day. GG has heard some commentators say that Russia doesn’t have the money, technology, or labor to expand its commodity reserves. But China does. In fact, China is doing that very thing already in Africa. India may be on the fence, but they know their geographical location and they have billions to feed. They have to be on the fence.

To sum up: too much is global debt will slow trade and change currency power. The unanswered question is: will political conflicts accelerate us all toward that decline.

 

March 28, 2014

GEAB N 83

Filed under: Dollar Crisis, European Debt Implosion, Global Debt — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 1:03 am

Click here for the full free summary. This was published March 16, 2014. FYI: this is from an European slant. Always know who the audience is, it helps decipher truth.

Layout of the full article:
1. BUILD A TRAP TO DIVERT EUROPE AWAY FROM IT’S OWN DESTINY
2. MASS ATTACKS ON EUROPE
3. CAUSE A NEW IRON CURTAIN TO FALL ON EUROPE
4. FORCE EUROPE TO CHOOSE SIDES
5. FIND THE INTRINSIC RESOURCES IN EUROPE TO FREE ITSELF FROM THE TRAP – Eight strategic recommendations      

March 11, 2014

High Frequency Trading

Tyler Durden via zerohedge had an excellent article this morning about the amazing winning percentages of HFT platforms. Apparently the big market for “winning” is currencies. Making fiat money on fiat money with the fastest computer. Fake money and fake traders. Welcome to the virtual world.

Click here.

But the most interesting thing about this post is not that computers control HFT trading, that the fastest and closest computers always win, that these HFT fat fingers can take down a market in milliseconds, or that currency markets are the main trading market they use to do it.

The scary thing about this chart is that there is a losing side to the winning computer’s HFT bet. Those extraordinary profits were taken from someone’s capital, debt, or savings. And who is that losing side? This is a another angle of the biggest wealth transfer in history.

Side musing: gg thought this little item about Ukraine’s gold air-lifted to NYFed for “safe-keeping” was interesting. Click here. Maybe it is collateral for that billion dollar loan?

February 8, 2014

GEAB N 81

The latest GEAB N81 is out. Click here for a detailed summary.

Layout of the full article:
1. STATISTICAL « SMOG »
2. THE RISE IN INTEREST RATES AND THE COLLAPSE OF US REAL ESTATE
3. THE END OF STOCK EXCHANGE EUPHORIA?
4. POLITICAL CHAOS
5. 2014, THE CLEAR BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE OIL ERA
6. SOLUTIONS ARE ON THE MARCH

February 1, 2014

New International Currency

Jesse had an update on the new international currency discussion. Click here. A new currency will happen and the pressure is building quick. But what it will look like and how will it change global capital/debt markets?

Groovygirl is off the opinion, like Jesse, that a new international currency will emerge, and national currencies will stay the “same”. But gg is also of the opinion that this new system will not last very long because it will keep as much power/influence with the US. And that strain between the US and emerging markets and outlying markets will continue. This will be a short-term solution (2, 5, 10 years?). Groovygirl is also of the opinion that this new currency will not last, because it will not address the true problem: collapsing global debt.

January 18, 2014

John Williams with shadowstats.com

Summary of John Williams’ real stats:

- Inflation Picks Up as the Economy Slows Down
– December Annual Inflation: 1.5% (CPI-U), 1.5% (CPI-W), 9.1% (ShadowStats)
– Real Retail Sales Declined by 0.1% in Industry’s Flagship Month of December; Slowing Annual Growth Signaled Recession
– Real Weekly Earnings Declined in December

gg says: quite a disconnect between inflation formula of today and inflation formula of the pre-1980’s. If you don’t like the number, just change the formula! Did your wages and/or investments go up 9% after taxes?

January 11, 2014

Latest Blog Post from Martin Armstrong dated January 9, 2014

Click here for Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post entitled What Are We Waiting For in the Markets? dated January 9, 2014.

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