muses of the moment

December 19, 2013

Latest Blog Post from Martin Armstrong dated December 18, 2013

Filed under: Economic Confidence Model Cycle, Martin Armstrong, Odds 'n ends — Tags: — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 1:04 am

Click here for Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post entitled Complexity and the Future dated December 18, 2013: to blow your mind…..Martin explains the basis for his Economic Confidence Model.

Side musing: groovygirl is reading Taleb’s Antifragile. Good one, but it is also blowing her mind. Really good! gg’s minor in college was philosophy, so she is really digging Taleb’s philosophical theory that some Black Swan events actually strengthen the system. The system becomes beyond resilient to an anti-fragile state. Similar to the creative destruction theory, but different process and possible outcomes.

He uses the myth of Hydra as an example. When the multi-headed sea monster, Hydra, had a head cut off, two grew in its place. Thus, strengthening, not just maintaining, the monster. Taleb uses alot of Greek Mythology and philosophy references. So keep google handy, if you didn’t study the classics as a girl, like gg did. At times, kind of like reading Milton’s Paradise Lost with no foot notes 🙂



  1. I used to get Mr. Armstrongs work in the 1990’s before he went to the slammer. His work was a lot more cogent then, telling you what market would be making a high or low and when. Now his work seems un-tradable, He talks of inversions and phase transitions that we wont know about until we get there. I don’t need Cycles to tell met that in six months if the Dow is 18000 it was bullish and if its at 10,000 it was bearish.

    Comment by Mitch Stein — December 19, 2013 @ 12:40 pm

  2. GG,

    Martin began blowing my mind a few months ago when he started discussing Cycle Inversions. I have enough difficulty in understanding the ECM let alone this now.

    Regarding complexity, this is one of the aspects of our world that led me to the belief in God. The unbelievable complexity that we see as one-dimensional in our own worlds is literally … incredible. No way it happened by chance. There is way too much design in EVERYTHING!

    Martin is in the deep end of the pool. I’m stilling learning to swim with my “floaties”. Let me know what GG learns in the deep end and share it with the likes of people like me. Thanks!


    Comment by MikePhila — December 19, 2013 @ 2:58 pm

  3. Mitch,

    I’m glad it’s just not me. Ultimately, I’d like to use Martin’s information to grow my 401K plan and to look at opportunities to invest. The information amazes me, but I do not fully understand how to use it at times. This is one of the reasons why I come to this blog. GG and others help me make heads and tails of the information that I can not figure out on my own.

    I think I understand what Armstrong is saying regaring inversions and phase transitions, but lately this information has confused me with regards as to what to buy/sell at any given time. It appears that when people where paying him millions he just gave them the answer (which is well worth the money I would think).

    Comment by MikePhila — December 19, 2013 @ 4:27 pm

  4. Same here GG I could use a little guidance with martins predictions……they are too much when and iffy…..Thanks

    Comment by geo — December 19, 2013 @ 4:46 pm

  5. I guess if you make a subject and your viewpoints so complex, you can always go back and point to all the ways you correctly “predicted” the markets.

    Comment by Benmark — December 21, 2013 @ 3:02 pm

  6. I used to get his lower level newsletter and it was pretty concise, often with clear dates of predicted highs and lows and clear directions. I don’t know if he is having a hard time recreating his computer infrastructure or he is getting lost in a haze of continued levels of complexity. I pointed out some recent inconsistencies of his to him, like predicting a lower EUR currency then changing that to a prediction of the European Union eventually falling apart some day, but got no responses from him.

    Comment by Mitch Stein — December 30, 2013 @ 12:15 pm

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