muses of the moment

April 21, 2015

Latest Video Interview from Martin Armstrong

Click here for latest interview with Martin Armstrong dated April 12, 2015 with uswatchdog.com.

groovygirl thought this interview was a good, compact form of Martin’s October 2015 Turning Point and the following impact, what he is calling the “Big Bang” or blow up/reset of global debt.

Quote:

Will the Fed finally raise interest rates?  Armstrong contends, “The Fed will have no real choice. . . . The Fed will come under significant pressure to raise interest rates because the newspapers and Congress will blame them and say they are creating a bubble with low interest rates.  The more they raise interest rates, the higher the stock market will go.  I know that sounds crazy . . . historically, interest rates bottom with the markets.  I mean, you lose confidence and people won’t borrow.”

side musing: still the big debate about inflationary or deflationary. Groovygirl still contends that the US will have both, so prepare/hedge for both. GG also believes that parts of the globe will have inflation and other parts will have deflation. Groovygirl thinks this is one of the main reasons that this global debt reset will be so confusing and shocking.

As you know, gg has been into real estate investing lately. A perfect example of inflation and deflation happening at the same time within one market. US high-end real estate asset prices have been increasing and low-end real estate have been collapsing in price. And the mid-range depends on where you are in the US. Whatever market(s) you are investing in, educate yourself and understand all aspects of that market.

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December 12, 2014

Let the games begin

The stars are aligning for another bank crisis and/or credit freeze and/or global debt collapse. Banks don’t want large cash deposits. Click here.

Banks are claiming that it is because of the Frank-Dodd rules, which really are so thin now, that this argument just doesn’t hold water. In addition, what little worry banks had about actually being responsible for their depositors money just got voted out by the new spending bill tonight (December 11, 2014). So, gg thinks that the big banks are getting prepared. They are lowering the cash they may need to return to customers during a crisis and anything beyond their capacity to produce, they are putting on the government’s shoulders. Or someone to blame for lack of cash for depositors.

Here is a good interview over at usawatchdog.com. Click here.

Although the stock market is going well. That’s about it. Oil is down putting major pressure on the US oil industry which is the only thing going well in the last 4 years. gg sees a major debt squeeze here if oil stays under $70 for the next 12 months. Debt has to be paid whether the oil well is running or not. Shutting down wells doesn’t pay off the bank, it just cuts payroll and hurts local economies.

Derivatives….the thing the big banks want the government to cover if (when) they blow up.

Derivatives, take your pick. Auto loans (maxed out), commodities (oil), stocks, government debt, Europe (still not fixed), China (slowing), emerging markets, and of course, currencies (very out of balance the last 8 months). Currencies are the largest derivative market. One or more can blow up at anytime and trigger a chain event. (Could be blowing up as we speak, but the chain reaction to multiple markets causes the crisis.) And the banks know that.

The good news is that since the government will cover any derivative losses for the banks, you will not lose money on deposit. May have to wait to withdraw it. (Money you can on get to, is not your money). Probably lose broker/invested money, it’s not covered. Groovygirl has suggested from the beginning to have investment funds with 2-3 different brokerage houses and then cash with 2-3 banks. That’s personal and business accounts. It’s extra accounting, but may reduce risk and at least have one account you can access immediately to keep things going in a crisis event.

Bad news is that the government will “print” to cover and you will be ultimately responsible for it through taxes, currency value, or perhaps even a brand new currency to restructure all the US debt.

This will not end well.

Make sure you are as protected as much as you can be. You can not control derivatives or government votes or market crisis, but you can control your money and finances.

I suggest to you that the next crisis will not be called a financial crisis. It will initially be labeled something else to keep people from assuming it is an event like 2007-2009 as long as possible. As this will cause everyone and anyone to “panic”. The time to prepare is yesterday, not tomorrow.

July 30, 2014

Blog Post from Martin Armstrong dated July 24, 2014

Click here for a post from Martin Armstrong dated July 24, 2014 entitled World Central Bank Secret Agreements.

From the link above:

That strategy depends on the rest of the world remaining strong. But if we see a turn down 2016-2020, it is hard to imagine Europe surviving the coming political storm.

groovygirl thought this was very important. This seems the only option to “control” the European debt implosion as everyone else is in a debt collapse, too. It’ s hard for a group of drowning men to save each other. May be impossible, but it gives us an idea of what the “first world”, US allies will try to do. Of course, there is that nasty unknown of shadow dark pool trading…..

July 18, 2014

Rereading Martin

Filed under: European Debt Implosion, Martin Armstrong, Odds 'n ends, The Financial Crisis — Tags: — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 1:06 am

Groovygirl was rereading some old articles from Martin Armstrong. The ones on the typewriter. Of course, gg often reviews the Real Estate Cycle one. Seems we are still right on schedule for the long decline in US real estate into 2033 after 2015.

gg was also reading March 21, 2013’s post entitled March 22nd-Just Amazing. I think you can find it on his site.

Martin refers to August 3, 2014 as a turning point for the Sovereign Debt Crisis Wave Formation. She is keeping an eye on that date.

And, of course, with today’s international events, it seems we are on track for a rise in the war cycle going 2014-2016. Maybe impact the global debt issue as well. The more global economic sanctions, the less global capital moves, the less global debt/credit available.

Hope everyone is well.

May 14, 2014

Interview with M Armstrong on USAWatchdog

Click here for a great interview with Martin Armstrong dated May 11, 2014. H/T to SW.

April 30, 2014

“Cold war”

groovygirl has been pre-occupied with another investment activity. See previous blog post for the details. Groovygirl will still continue to post about economics, gold and silver, and global debt.

groovygirl has been paying very close attention to the new Cold War with Russia and the crisis in Ukraine.

Click here.

Russia is making friends in the mist of this crisis.

Groovygirl is very concerned about the global economic consequences from this situation regardless of the end result in Ukraine. At the very least, this will speed up the economic alliances and economic separation of the BRICs. The direct trading of currency, energy, and commodities that started in 2010 is accelerating. At the worst, all global trade, which has helped and driven all growth (including the US) in the last 20 years will slow dramatically or stop all together. Iraq is now back in Iran’s influence, Russia and China are in direct currency trading and strengthening every day. GG has heard some commentators say that Russia doesn’t have the money, technology, or labor to expand its commodity reserves. But China does. In fact, China is doing that very thing already in Africa. India may be on the fence, but they know their geographical location and they have billions to feed. They have to be on the fence.

To sum up: too much is global debt will slow trade and change currency power. The unanswered question is: will political conflicts accelerate us all toward that decline.

 

March 31, 2014

Latest blog post by Martin Armstrong dated March 31, 2014

Click here for Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post entitled Is Obama Just Outclassed by Putin? dated March 31, 2014.

gg says: groovygirl isn’t sure if Obama is outclassed by Putin, but he is certainly out-statemened. Is that a word? What gg means is that, say what you will about Russia/communism/etc, Putin is one of the best statesmen and politicians ever seen of late. He is strategic. And you can bet he doesn’t do anything without exploring and anticipating all the possibilities and consequences ahead of time. He is well-prepared, and his actions are well-thought out. That’s something the US seems to have fallen short on.

Putin also has something on his global side that the US doesn’t seem to consider, growing hatred of America’s butting into everyone’s business under the guise of the “war on terror”. (He also has Russian nationaliam from within.) There was a time, when the USSR was seen as a force to be protected from. Now, that may or may not be true, but it is not Russia that is getting bad global press about eavesdropping on Merkel’s phone calls, it is the US. This hypocrisy is not lost on the rest of the world, and it is and will be used by Putin to his every advantage. And being the “underdog” is also in Putin’s favor.

This little spat with Putin is very concerning to groovygirl. It is big. At best, it will bring together the alternative trading currency and SWIFT systems that have started in Asia much quicker than thought. At the worst, it will start a regional war that the US is sure to lose and will not be backed by the people of the US. If Obama does not handle this Putin thing well and start aggressively rebuilding relations with Europe, Asia, and South America (instead of running to Saudi Arabia), this will be the middle of the big wave that changes global power not by war, but by currency and capital. gg doesn’t know who is advising Obama on foreign relations, but he is ill-advised. Putin is using the exact same tactic that the US used prior to the fall of Russia: protecting the little guy/country from the big, bad empire. And it will work for him just as it worked for the US.

The US can not continue sanctions, it will just drive the BRICS and their new trading system closer to a global alternative and cause even more global capital to go into hiding. The US can not use military action, the world and the US people are weary of long invasions. The US must take drastic and targeted actions to restore trust that it is a world leader by example, not a tsar and tyrant. The eroding of trust and confidence is at the core of this decentralizing cycle, causing all sorts of issues from global currency to capital flow to riots and revolutions to stock markets to NSA to government coups. It is a lack of confidence that is causing all the long time systems and institutions to be questioned, and in some cases, challenged.

This will be very interesting to watch. 

The big question is will these systems be torn down and rebuilt into something balanced and fair and really better, or will that be in name only and be tyranny under a more peaceful and tranquil guise? Once people get power, no matter how noble the original thought, they tend to try and keep that power no matter what. Even if they have abandoned the noble thoughts long ago. Power comes and goes. But character, the essence of man/woman when money, power and status are stripped away. Things like the search for truth, continuing education, openness, empathy; these things should not be changeable or put away when one’s power is threatened. These things are stoic, intertwined with the character, unwavering.

meekness is not weakness or powerlessness, but power under control.

March 28, 2014

GEAB N 83

Filed under: Dollar Crisis, European Debt Implosion, Global Debt — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 1:03 am

Click here for the full free summary. This was published March 16, 2014. FYI: this is from an European slant. Always know who the audience is, it helps decipher truth.

Layout of the full article:
1. BUILD A TRAP TO DIVERT EUROPE AWAY FROM IT’S OWN DESTINY
2. MASS ATTACKS ON EUROPE
3. CAUSE A NEW IRON CURTAIN TO FALL ON EUROPE
4. FORCE EUROPE TO CHOOSE SIDES
5. FIND THE INTRINSIC RESOURCES IN EUROPE TO FREE ITSELF FROM THE TRAP – Eight strategic recommendations      

March 12, 2014

Latest Blog Post from Martin Armstrong dated March 10, 2014

Filed under: European Debt Implosion, Odds 'n ends, The Banking Crisis, The Financial Crisis — Tags: — totallygroovygirlfriday @ 1:11 am

Click here for Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post entitled France-Leading the Way To the Demise of the West-First of Fall dated March 10, 2014.

gg says: as a side note, all is still not well in Greece. They are set for non-payment of their “restructured and then restructured again” loan. But did anyone really expect them pay?

February 24, 2014

Martin Armstrong talks with Glen Downs Feb 20, 2014

Click here. A two-part interview, about 25 min total.

Martin brings up a good point. When current political governments are overturned, debt payments may not get paid. New governments want to give cash to the people, not overseas bank creditors or internal corrupt government/systems.

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