Antal E. Fekete completed an excellent analysis of the banks and economic crisis.
He states what I have said here in this blog before. You can have a hyperinflationary deflation. And it looks like it is coming to the US.
Antal E. Fekete completed an excellent analysis of the banks and economic crisis.
He states what I have said here in this blog before. You can have a hyperinflationary deflation. And it looks like it is coming to the US.
This chart doesn’t look good. The market is going to go down more before hitting bottom. Although the media spin is, “things are looking better”, it is just spin. Don’t listen.
It looks like Martin Armstrong is correct…market move down and gold up in June. The only question now is next leg-down (to 600 range) or waterfall-effect off the edge. The waterfall looks something like the middle of the chart, but it just falls off the page. We shall see. Let’s take a look at some of the details.
This chart from Chart of the Day says it all. The S&P 500 is testing the trend, but with what?
The credit market is still frozen. Two of the Big 3 will be in bankruptcy before summer. The dollar took a huge hit this week. The “good news” of solid balance sheets and 1st quarter profits of the banks is beyond comical. The bank stress tests are clearly a complete government spin. The IMF has nothing but negative news for the global economy and harsh words for US handling of the the crisis. Unemployment is still rising. Global attacks on the USDollar as a global reserve currency. Another 4 banks closed on Friday, right in line with the FDIC controlled implode of the banking system.
I have taken some small bets on inverse funds against banks and real estate for the next few months.
We have not hit bottom, continue to prepare for more of the same. If you have not protected your 401K or retirement funds for downturn, do so now before the next leg down in the economy.
On the positive side, gold is headed up amidst the chaos.
The government has made some changes that may impact your retirement investment vehicle.
As you may know I am not in favor of 401Ks or IRAs, as I believe that taxes will rise by the time younger people get to retirement age. Roth IRAs are good, as you are not taxed on capital gains once in the account. Roth IRAs are more flexible in many ways.
When the rules change, your investments may need to change.
New Roth IRA rules.Traditional IRAs are funded with pre-tax dollars and defer taxes until the funds are withdrawn. Roth IRAs, by contrast, are funded with post-tax dollars but investment gains are not taxed. Once you’re 59 1/2, funds can be withdrawn whenever you wish, and the accounts may pass on in your estate so that your heirs enjoy the tax exemption as well. Moderate household income ceilings have prevented lots of people from creating Roths or converting traditional IRAs into Roths. Next year, however, the income ceiling for Roth conversions will be dropped, allowing anyone to convert as much of their qualifying retirement accounts into Roth IRAs as they wish. Of course, they will have to pay income taxes on their fund balances when they convert. But steep investment reversals in many retirement accounts may make that tax hit easier to take. And, should a market rebound in investment values occur, the gains will never be taxed if funds are switched into a Roth account. Also, the government is allowing conversion taxes to be spread over two years: 2010 and 2011. Taxes stemming from conversions made after 2010 will be fully due in the year of conversion. Make sure you speak to your tax account before making this change.
Mandatory retirement plan withdrawals suspended. Last year’s stock market collapse collided with rules requiring mandatory retirement plan withdrawals at the age of 70 1/2. Forcing retirees to cash in money-losing securities seemed especially unfair. Investment experts were widely advising people not to sell their securities at steep losses or risk losing out on any future market recovery. Congress agreed, but it was too late to waive the withdrawal rule for 2008. However, it will be in effect this year, so investors will have the choice of whether or not to take withdrawals from their plans. Investors should contact their retirement plan administrator for the steps to take if they decide to reduce withdrawals this year. The withdrawal decision can affect tax returns due in 2010.
Estate tax changes. Under current law, there is no estate tax next year. But in 2011, it reverts to the 2001 level, with tax rates of up to 55 percent on all but the first $1 million of an estate. No one thinks this approach will prevail. Democrats want this year’s estate taxes to be made permanent. This would exempt the first $3.5 million and levy tax rates of up to 45 percent on the rest. Estate taxes have long been an ideological battleground and nothing less than rhetorical war should be expected as President Obama’s tax-reform tax force develops recommendations that are due at the White House by early December.
With inflation and hyperinflation in our future, $3.5 million may not be that much in purchasing power. Keep an eye on this and adjust your estate planning as needed.
Some options: have assets held by companies rather than personally and assign your children members of the company. Give away money to each child. It’s up to $22,000 per child per year for a couple. If you are concerned about needing cash in your old age, and you don’t trust your children. Create a Trust in the child’s name and give money annually (under the $22,000 annual, one million life-time limit). Have someone other than the child be executor until your death. The trust can “loan” you money as needed before your death. All these suggestions require professional tax accounts and attorneys. Make sure your paperwork is in order and up-to-date.
When the law changes, some people lose money and some people gain money.