Groovygirl continues to be amazed at Western countries’ interpretation of China’s actions in Europe and around the globe.
Click here. Some of this article concludes that China is “bailing out” Portugal because they don’t want to take a haircut on the debt they hold in Europe and in Euros. Really?
Groovygirl says that China has been buying up Africa’s raw materials with its excess USdollars and now it is doing something similar in Europe. China has a more long-term view. And it is in the position to buy all the world’s resources with other countries’ deflated currencies. And it will succeed because it is a creditor nation, not a debtor nation.
In 50 years, even if Wall Street is still the world’s trading center, the entire world’s wealth will be transferred to the emerging markets. Simply because they can name their own terms because they have less debt. China and India have an advantage over other BRIC nations because they have more people and more technology in addition to less debt. Yes, they will go through a rough time economically, but a downturn with huge debt and downturn with no debt is the difference between a world influence and a world power.
China knows that the debt they hold will default at some point. But at that time, they will be the biggest economic country on the planet. Nations will have to negotiate their debt or sacrifice doing business with the only country with money to spend and in control of the globe’s raw materials. China can name their own price for that debt: national assets, trade in whatever currency they chose, including gold, a nation’s gold reserves, national monuments, loyalty, anything.
The only thing that China lacks completely is a diverse debt portfolio where they can have a nation’s debt default completely and it will not hamper their long-term plan. Buying euro debt, in this case, Portugal, is part of the diversification. Buying gold is another part of that plan. Buying Africa, another. Becoming trading partners with Russia, another. Trading in Asian currencies only, not dollars, with Brazil, Russia, other Asian countries, all part of that long term plan.
You may say, but the US has its military strength. Yes, that is true, at the moment. But, the US is a debtor nation and soon will not able to afford to continue to buy loyalty or a standing army like they have in the past. In addition, just as Rome used valuable resources fighting Barbarians from the north, the US is using valuable resources to fight terrorists.
If China and India have the largest consuming nations in the next 10 years, will the threat of a loss of trade with the US really be such a threat? And if you haven’t been outside the US in the last 20 years, the world is pretty much tiring of the US bully. The Middle East is just waiting for the opportunity to tell us to take a hike.
If you want to have a long-term view, do the same thing on an individual level. Get rid of personal debt, secure and build up cash and resources (physical gold and silver) to purchase income-producing assets very cheap in the future. If you have cash (held as valuable currencies such as gold and silver) in the future and not debt, you can name your own price for any asset.