Latest Video Interview from Martin Armstrong

Click here for latest interview with Martin Armstrong dated April 12, 2015 with uswatchdog.com.

groovygirl thought this interview was a good, compact form of Martin’s October 2015 Turning Point and the following impact, what he is calling the “Big Bang” or blow up/reset of global debt.

Quote:

Will the Fed finally raise interest rates?  Armstrong contends, “The Fed will have no real choice. . . . The Fed will come under significant pressure to raise interest rates because the newspapers and Congress will blame them and say they are creating a bubble with low interest rates.  The more they raise interest rates, the higher the stock market will go.  I know that sounds crazy . . . historically, interest rates bottom with the markets.  I mean, you lose confidence and people won’t borrow.”

side musing: still the big debate about inflationary or deflationary. Groovygirl still contends that the US will have both, so prepare/hedge for both. GG also believes that parts of the globe will have inflation and other parts will have deflation. Groovygirl thinks this is one of the main reasons that this global debt reset will be so confusing and shocking.

As you know, gg has been into real estate investing lately. A perfect example of inflation and deflation happening at the same time within one market. US high-end real estate asset prices have been increasing and low-end real estate have been collapsing in price. And the mid-range depends on where you are in the US. Whatever market(s) you are investing in, educate yourself and understand all aspects of that market.

What has groovygirl been reading?

totallygroovygirlfriday has been super busy with real estate the last few years. Things are going well so far.

Groovygirl came across an interesting book by Tony Robbins. It’s called Money, you may have seen it. Tony has been making the rounds on TV/internet.

This is a heavy book, very dense (600 pages). It doesn’t focus on gold or silver. But gg likes it because it gives an overall education regarding investing , especially 401ks. (You know how gg feels about 401ks.) This goes beyond debt reduction and teaches you about investing and what to look out for.

If you are an advanced investor, don’t worry about it. But if you have a friend that is out of debt and looking for the next lessons to learn, suggest this book. Tony’s cheer-leading way of writing may help give a boost where you fail with a friend. Investing and markets can so confusing and depressing sometimes, that people just give up.

600 pages….skip around for the info you need, if you find that overwhelming.

Latest blog posts from Martin Armstrong dated November 3-4, 2014

Click here for Martin’s blog post on oil.

Click here for Martin’s blog post on gold.

Click here for Martin’s blog post on the DOW.

Groovygirl has been busy working her long-term investment plan. She hopes you are doing the same. The big wave seems to be a little slower to form. Martin says after 2015 (2016-2018). Goods news is you have more time to prepare. Bad news is it seems it will be an even bigger, more volatile wave.

groovygirl is voting today.

Longwave Group

groovygirl gets these periodic free letters from the Longwave Group (Ian Gordon). This latest one was kind of interesting. He talks about a recent key point reversal in the US stock markets.

Click here.

Inside Job

groovygirl thought this article from Pam Martens was very interesting.

Click here.

From the link above:

Starting with the week of May 26, 2014, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) began releasing weekly dark pool trading data to the public. That sliver of sunlight shows that some of the corporations with the largest share buyback programs are also among the heaviest traded stocks within the dark pools.

With banking declining, banks must make money anyway that can. This “recession” is hard on everyone, only bankers don’t go to jail for illegal activity to support their families, in gg’s humble and completely uneducated opinion 🙂

Take the case of Apple Computer. According to FINRA data, in the five weekly periods of May 26 through June 23, dark pools traded over 103.6 million shares of Apple stock. The heaviest week was the week of June 9, 2014 when 39.9 million shares traded in dark pools. Goldman Sachs was responsible for trading 2,444,350 shares of Apple that week in its dark pool, Sigma-X, and has been in the top tier of dark pools trading Apple stock in all subsequent weeks reported by FINRA.

So what happens when corporations need cash to meet operation costs? Will they all put their stock up for sale at the same time? And who is going to buy that stock? Goldman and sell to muppets? I think the muppets are either out of cash or pissed off or both.

This can not end well.

 

Interesting question

Charles Hugh Smith brings up an interesting question.  Who will boomers and their pension/401k plans sell their stocks to?

Click here.

It is possible that other countries and emerging markets might or maybe too big to fail banks with free Fed money, but this scenario suggests some sort of long-term decline at some point under even the best of circumstances.

gg is hoping that emerging markets will be over their contraction in 5-7 years and be able to pick up the selling slack when a large population of aging Americans are selling for cash. Otherwise it could get ugly.

Same thing is/will happen in housing. Seniors need the cash equity out of their home and there are limited buyers. gg has thought for a long time that this pressure, with the increased debt burden/low-income on young people will contribute to the long-term decline in real estate in the US and other first world economies.

This is a long-term pressure on a long term cycle tied to generational demographics.

Interview with M Armstrong on USAWatchdog

Click here for a great interview with Martin Armstrong dated May 11, 2014. H/T to SW.

Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post dated February 25, 2014

Click here for Martin Armstrong’s latest blog post entitled Caesar-Beware of the Ides of March dated February 25, 2014. It looks like panic cycles in some major markets toward the end of March.

Ukraine is certainly heating up and global markets really have not reacted to this situation yet.

GEAB N 81

The latest GEAB N81 is out. Click here for a detailed summary.

Layout of the full article:
1. STATISTICAL « SMOG »
2. THE RISE IN INTEREST RATES AND THE COLLAPSE OF US REAL ESTATE
3. THE END OF STOCK EXCHANGE EUPHORIA?
4. POLITICAL CHAOS
5. 2014, THE CLEAR BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE OIL ERA
6. SOLUTIONS ARE ON THE MARCH

John Williams with shadowstats.com

Summary of John Williams’ real stats:

– Inflation Picks Up as the Economy Slows Down
– December Annual Inflation: 1.5% (CPI-U), 1.5% (CPI-W), 9.1% (ShadowStats)
– Real Retail Sales Declined by 0.1% in Industry’s Flagship Month of December; Slowing Annual Growth Signaled Recession
– Real Weekly Earnings Declined in December

gg says: quite a disconnect between inflation formula of today and inflation formula of the pre-1980’s. If you don’t like the number, just change the formula! Did your wages and/or investments go up 9% after taxes?